COVID-19 Trends 04/29/2020

I live in Texas, so all of what follows will have a markedly United States and Texas lens, so know that going in. All data is pulled from Johns Hopkins and the COVID Tracking Project and re-visualized on my site.

  1. World — 3,193,812 cases (+77,488 today), 227,630 deaths (+10,485 today). It was a worldwide high for deaths. The 14 day average is so flat. Just about 80k cases every day for the past several weeks.

2. Countries per 1M — The US moved up one spot on testing. We are now 17th on Testing per 1M people, testing 1.825% of the population, below Spain and ahead of Belgium. We are 7th in Cases per 1M people at 3,141, with a 17.24% positive rate, just below Italy and ahead of France. And finally, the US is 10th in Deaths per 1M people at 184.19, with a 5.86% mortality rate, just below Switzerland and ahead of Portugal.

3. US — 1,039,743 cases (+27,327 today), 60,962 deaths (+2,612 today). We have tested 6,030,758 (+230,909 today). Anyone notice we blew right past 60k deaths and don’t really show any signs of slowing down? Three full weeks of 1,800+ deaths per day.

4. US Cases by Day — This chart shows the daily cases by day of the week since 3/2, with each week having its own “wave”. Today was the 4th highest Wednesday case total. One person’s opinion, but things really started shutting down the week of 3/16, the yellow line on the chart. Yeah, one way down toward the bottom. Is now the time to re-open?

5. States per 100k — Texas is in 47th on Testing per 100k people, with 1,085 tests per 100k. We are 43rd in Cases per 100k at 94.0, with a 8.66% positive rate, behind Wyoming and ahead of Oklahoma. Texas is 41st in Deaths per 100k people at 2.60, with a 2.77% mortality rate, behind Tennessee and ahead of North Dakota. I know it makes it a bit of an eye chart, but all states are on the chart so you can see the scale of where Texas lands.

6. Texas — 27,757 cases (+900 today), 754 deaths (+35 today), 314,790 tests (+14,406 today). We are averaging 810 new cases every day over the past 14 days.

7. TX Cases by Day — This chart shows the daily cases in Texas by day of the week since 3/2, with each week having its own “wave”. Today was the 2nd highest Wednesday case total (missing being the top by 1 single case). One person’s opinion, but the Governor issued his order on 3/27, the green line on the chart. Are we back close to even that level yet? Nope. Nervous about opening Texas yet?

8. Texas Counties — Top 5 on cases are Harris (6,161), Dallas (3,240), Tarrant (2,088), Travis (1,539), and Bexar (1,334). 33 counties have 100+ cases, 115 have 10+, and 209 have at least 1 case. 17 counties have lost 10+ Texans, 87 have lost at least 1. The map looks like a really bad case of the chicken pox because the virus doesn’t really care about labels like county lines. It’s just looking for hosts. It will go anywhere, anytime it gets a chance.

9. TX Counties per 10k — Top 5 on Cases per 10k residents are Moore, Donley, Sherman, Washington, and Shelby. The virus is all over the state, not just the big counties.

And here are just the numbers for Texas, no graphs.

Mobile friendly version of the dashboards is here: bit.ly/uscovid19mapm

Regular version (where I pull all of these screenshots from) is here: bit.ly/uscovid19map

Stay in if you can. Stay safe.

I chart Texas Politics at christackettnow.com and write about things that matter (to me at least) whenever the muse hits.