COVID-19 Trends 05/02/2020

I live in Texas, so all of what follows will have a markedly United States and Texas lens, so know that going in. All data is pulled from Johns Hopkins and the COVID Tracking Project and re-visualized on my site.

  1. World — 3,427,184 cases (+83,498 today), 243,798 deaths (+5,156 today). The 14 day average is so flat. Just about 80k cases every day for the past several weeks.
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2. Countries per 1M — The US is 18th on Testing per 1M people, testing 2.06% of the population, below Belgium and ahead of Finland. We are 7th in Cases per 1M people at 3,421, with a 16.61% positive rate, just below Switzerland and ahead of the United Kingdom (we aren’t far from jumping both Switzerland and Italy to move into 5th). And finally, the US is 10th in Deaths per 1M people at 200.51, with a 5.86% mortality rate, just below Switzerland and ahead of Portugal.

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3. US — 1,132,373 cases (+29,078 today), 66,364 deaths (+1,426 today). We have tested 6,816,920 (+264,291 today). 14 day daily case average is very flat, with an average of 28k+ every day going back to the beginning of April.

4. US Cases by Day — This chart shows the daily cases by day of the week since 3/2, with each week having its own “wave”. Today was the 5th highest Saturday case total. One person’s opinion, but things really started shutting down the week of 3/16, the yellow line on the chart. Yeah, one way down toward the bottom. Is now the time to re-open?

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5. States per 100k — Texas is in 46th on Testing per 100k people, with 1,312 tests per 100k. We are 43rd in Cases per 100k at 106.6, with a 8.12% positive rate, behind Kentucky and ahead of Wyoming. Texas is 42nd in Deaths per 100k people at 2.98, with a 2.79% mortality rate, behind Tennessee and ahead of West Virginia. I know it makes it a bit of an eye chart, but all states are on the chart so you can see the scale of where Texas lands.

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6. Texas — 30,917 cases (+1,225 today), 863 deaths (+23 today), 380,648 tests (+28,873 today). The 14 day daily case average is heading back up. The 7 day daily death average certainly is too.

7. TX Cases by Day — This chart shows the daily cases in Texas by day of the week since 3/2, with each week having its own “wave”. Today was the highest Saturday case total, and it was by a lot. One person’s opinion, but the Governor issued his order on 3/27, the green line on the chart. Are we back close to even that level yet? Nope. Nervous about opening Texas yet?

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8. Texas Counties — Top 5 on cases are Harris (6,708), Dallas (3,899), Tarrant (2,388), Travis (1,714), and Bexar (1,477). 37 counties have 100+ cases, 120 have 10+, and 213 have at least 1 case. 18 counties have lost 10+ Texans, 91 have lost at least 1. The map looks like a really bad case of the chicken pox because the virus doesn’t really care about labels like county lines. It’s just looking for hosts. It will go anywhere, anytime it gets a chance.

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9. TX Counties per 10k — Top 5 on Cases per 10k residents are Moore, Donley, Panola, Potter, and Mason. The virus is all over the state, not just the big counties.

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And here are just the numbers for Texas, no graphs.

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I’ll keep updating things daily. I believe people need to see the numbers at all levels to really understand things. Hopefully a few of you out there find this useful. Please feel free to grab screenshots from here or the actual dashboards and share them anywhere you can.

Thanks for reading all the way to the bottom.

Stay in if you can. Stay safe.

Mobile friendly version of the dashboards is here: bit.ly/uscovid19mapm

Regular version (where I pull all of these screenshots from) is here: bit.ly/uscovid19map

I chart Texas Politics at christackettnow.com and write about things that matter (to me at least) whenever the muse hits.

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