COVID-19 Trends 05/05/2020

Governor Greg Abbott has decided more cases = open up the state sooner. SMH. More on Texas below.

I live in Texas, so all of what follows will have a markedly United States and Texas lens, so know that going in. All data is pulled from Johns Hopkins and the COVID Tracking Project and re-visualized on my site.

  1. World — 3,662,312 cases (+79,573 today), 257,226 deaths (+5,700 today). The 14 day average is so flat. Just about 80k cases every day for the past several weeks.
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2. Countries per 1M — The US is 18th on Testing per 1M people, testing 2.28% of the population, below Belgium and ahead of Belarus. We have moved up two spots to 5th in Cases per 1M people at 3,638, with a 15.96% positive rate, just below Belgium and ahead of Italy. And finally, the US is 9th in Deaths per 1M people at 214.69, with a 5.9% mortality rate, just below Ireland and ahead of Switzerland.

3. US — 1,204,185 cases (+23,976 today), 71,059 deaths (+2,142 today). We have tested 7,545,081 (+258,530 today). 14 day daily case average is very flat, with an average of 28k+ every day going back to the beginning of April.

4. US Cases by Day — This chart shows the daily cases by day of the week since 3/2, with each week having its own “wave”. Today was the 6th highest Monday, but all of the numbers are still quite bunched together. One person’s opinion, but things really started shutting down the week of 3/16, the yellow line on the chart. Yeah, one way down toward the bottom. Is now the time to re-open?

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5. States per 100k — Texas is in 43rd on Testing per 100k people, with 1,473 tests per 100k. We are 42nd in Cases per 100k at 116.95, with a 7.94% positive rate, behind Idaho and ahead of Arkansas. Texas is 42nd in Deaths per 100k people at 3.19, with a 2.73% mortality rate, behind North Dakota and ahead of Arkansas. I know it makes it a bit of an eye chart, but all states are on the chart so you can see the scale of where Texas lands.

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6. Texas — 33,912 cases (+1,129 today), 925 deaths (+24 today), 427,210 tests (+19,812 today). The 14 day daily case average is heading back up. And yet somehow Governor Abbott sees that as a signal to open things ahead of schedule.

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7. TX Cases by Day — This chart shows the daily cases in Texas by day of the week since 3/2, with each week having its own “wave”. We closed last week with the highest case week yet for Texas. Check out the trend line for this week. We just popped the highest case Tuesday. Nervous about opening Texas yet? I know I am.

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8. Texas Counties — Top 5 on cases are Harris (7,128), Dallas (4,623), Tarrant (2,624), Travis (1,876), and Bexar (1,652). 37 counties have 100+ cases, 126 have 10+, and 217 have at least 1 case. 18 counties have lost 10+ Texans, 95 have lost at least 1. The map looks like a really bad case of the chicken pox because the virus doesn’t really care about labels like county lines. It’s just looking for hosts. It will go anywhere, anytime it gets a chance.

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9. TX Counties per 10k — Top 5 on Cases per 10k residents are Moore, Donley, Potter, Mason, and Sherman. The virus is all over the state, not just the big counties.

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And here are just the numbers for Texas, no graphs.

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I’ll keep updating things daily. I believe people need to see the numbers at all levels to really understand things. Hopefully a few of you out there find this useful. Please feel free to grab screenshots from here or the actual dashboards and share them anywhere you can.

Thanks for reading all the way to the bottom.

Stay in if you can. Stay safe.

Mobile friendly version of the dashboards is here: bit.ly/uscovid19mapm

Regular version (where I pull all of these screenshots from) is here: bit.ly/uscovid19map

I chart Texas Politics at christackettnow.com and write about things that matter (to me at least) whenever the muse hits.

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