COVID-19 Trends 05/06/2020

I live in Texas, so all of what follows will have a markedly United States and Texas lens, so know that going in. All data is pulled from Johns Hopkins and the COVID Tracking Project and re-visualized on my site.

  1. World — 3,754,869 cases (+92,557 today), 263,814 deaths (+6,588 today). The 14 day average is so flat. Just about 80k cases every day for the past several weeks.
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2. Countries per 1M — The US is 17th on Testing per 1M people, testing 2.35% of the population, below Canada and ahead of Belgium. We are 5th in Cases per 1M people at 3,711, with a 15.83% positive rate, just below Belgium and ahead of Italy. And finally, the US is 9th in Deaths per 1M people at 221.84, with a 5.98% mortality rate, just below Ireland and ahead of Switzerland.

3. US — 1,228,436 cases (+24,251 today), 73,426 deaths (+2,367 today). We have tested 7,247,124 (+215,551 today). 14 day daily case average is mostly flat, declining slightly, with an average that dipped below 28k+ for the first time since April 9th. The decline is mostly about New York. Remove them, and the average is actually increasing.

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4. US Cases by Day — This chart shows the daily cases by day of the week since 3/2, with each week having its own “wave”. Today was the 6th highest Tuesday, but all of the numbers are still quite bunched together. One person’s opinion, but things really started shutting down the week of 3/16, the yellow line on the chart. Yeah, one way down toward the bottom. Is now the time to re-open?

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5. States per 100k — Texas is in 44th on Testing per 100k people, with 1,513 tests per 100k. We are 41st in Cases per 100k at 120.46, with a 7.96% positive rate, behind North Carolina and ahead of Idaho. Texas is 42nd in Deaths per 100k people at 3.29, with a 2.73% mortality rate, behind Tennessee and ahead of South Dakota. I know it makes it a bit of an eye chart, but all states are on the chart so you can see the scale of where Texas lands.

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6. **NEW CHART** This one won’t be in every daily update, but I did want to introduce it. I’ve captured the overall case and 14 daily case average for the Top 12 case States. It give a quick visual on how the various states are doing with the virus.

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7. Texas — 34,928 cases (+1,016 today), 954 deaths (+29 today), 438,938 tests (+11,728 today). The 14 day daily case average is heading back up. And yet somehow Governor Abbott sees that as a signal to open things ahead of schedule.

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8. TX Cases by Day — This chart shows the daily cases in Texas by day of the week since 3/2, with each week having its own “wave”. We closed last week with the highest case week yet for Texas. Check out the trend line for this week. We just popped the highest case Tuesday and Wednesday. Nervous about opening Texas yet? I know I am.

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9. Texas Counties — Top 5 on cases are Harris (7,244), Dallas (4,869), Tarrant (2,686), Travis (1,946), and Bexar (1,677). 40 counties have 100+ cases, 128 have 10+, and 217 have at least 1 case. 19 counties have lost 10+ Texans, 96 have lost at least 1. The map looks like a really bad case of the chicken pox because the virus doesn’t really care about labels like county lines. It’s just looking for hosts. It will go anywhere, anytime it gets a chance.

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10. TX Counties per 10k — Top 5 on Cases per 10k residents are Moore, Potter, Donley, Mason, and Panola. The virus is all over the state, not just the big counties.

11. **NEW CHART** This one won’t be in every daily update, but just like the one for the States, I did want to introduce it. I’ve captured the overall case and 14 daily case average for the Top 12 case Texas Counties. It give a quick visual on how the various counties are doing with the virus. Short answer: it’s mostly growing.

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I’ll keep updating things daily. I believe people need to see the numbers at all levels to really understand things. Hopefully a few of you out there find this useful. Please feel free to grab screenshots from here or the actual dashboards and share them anywhere you can.

Thanks for reading all the way to the bottom.

Stay in if you can. Stay safe.

Mobile friendly version of the dashboards is here: bit.ly/uscovid19mapm

Regular version (where I pull all of these screenshots from) is here: bit.ly/uscovid19map

I chart Texas Politics at christackettnow.com and write about things that matter (to me at least) whenever the muse hits.

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