COVID-19 Trends 05/07/2020

I live in Texas, so all of what follows will have a markedly United States and Texas lens, so know that going in. All data is pulled from Johns Hopkins and the COVID Tracking Project and re-visualized on my site.

  1. World — 3,845,164 cases (+90,295 today), 269,546 deaths (+5,732 today). The 14 day average is so flat. Just about 80k cases every day for the past several weeks.
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2. Countries per 1M — The US is 17th on Testing per 1M people, testing 2.45% of the population, below Canada and ahead of Belgium. We are 5th in Cases per 1M people at 3,797, with a 15.5% positive rate, just below Belgium and ahead of Singapore. And finally, the US is 9th in Deaths per 1M people at 228.58, with a 6.02% mortality rate, just below Ireland and ahead of Switzerland.

3. US — 1,256,856 cases (+28,420 today), 75,657 deaths (+2,231 today). We have tested 8,106,103 (+346,171 today). 14 day daily case average is mostly flat, declining slightly, with an average that dipped below 28k+ for the first time since April 9th. The decline is mostly about New York. Remove them, and the average is actually increasing. It was a new high for testing.

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4. US Cases by Day — This chart shows the daily cases by day of the week since 3/2, with each week having its own “wave”. Today was the 6th highest Thursday, but all of the numbers are still quite bunched together. One person’s opinion, but things really started shutting down the week of 3/16, the yellow line on the chart. Yeah, one way down toward the bottom. Is now the time to re-open? And is now the (relative) calm before the storm, the result of shelter in place?

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5. States per 100k — Texas is in 46th on Testing per 100k people, with 1,569 tests per 100k. We are 41st in Cases per 100k at 124.48, with a 7.92% positive rate, behind North Carolina and ahead of Arkansas. Texas is 43rd in Deaths per 100k people at 3.40, with a 2.73% mortality rate, behind Tennessee and ahead of Arkansas. I know it makes it a bit of an eye chart, but all states are on the chart so you can see the scale of where Texas lands.

6. Texas — 36,036 cases (+1,108 today), 985 deaths (+31 today), 455,162 tests (+16,224 today). The 14 day daily case average is heading back up. And in bizzaro world, that means open things back up.

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7. TX Cases by Day — This chart shows the daily cases in Texas by day of the week since 3/2, with each week having its own “wave”. This was the 4th highest Thursday, but look at the overall wave. Nervous about opening Texas yet? I know I am.

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8. Texas Counties — Top 5 on cases are Harris (7,377), Dallas (5,120), Tarrant (2,956), Travis (2,002), and Bexar (1,761). 40 counties have 100+ cases, 129 have 10+, and 218 have at least 1 case. 20 counties have lost 10+ Texans, 97 have lost at least 1. The map looks like a really bad case of the chicken pox because the virus doesn’t really care about labels like county lines. It’s just looking for hosts. It will go anywhere, anytime it gets a chance.

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9. TX Counties per 10k — Top 5 on Cases per 10k residents are Moore, Potter, Donley, Mason, and Sherman. The virus is all over the state, not just the big counties.

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I’ll keep updating things daily. I believe people need to see the numbers at all levels to really understand things. Hopefully a few of you out there find this useful. Please feel free to grab screenshots from here or the actual dashboards and share them anywhere you can.

Thanks for reading all the way to the bottom.

Stay in if you can. Stay safe.

Mobile friendly version of the dashboards is here: bit.ly/uscovid19mapm

Regular version (where I pull all of these screenshots from) is here: bit.ly/uscovid19map

I chart Texas Politics at christackettnow.com and write about things that matter (to me at least) whenever the muse hits.

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