COVID-19 Trends 07/24/2020

It’s been a while. I update the charts every day, but with everything going on in life, sitting down to write takes a back seat. Today’s update will look a little different. I’m going to swing through where each state is on their Case and Death trends, just to illustrate how different we are across the country. I’ll still circle into some Texas focused elements at the end. Promise.

The United States, A to Z

  • Alabama

Daily cases and daily deaths, both headed up

Alabama
  • Alaska

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths flat

Alaska
  • Arizona

Daily cases look to have turned a corner down, but daily deaths are up

Arizona
  • Arkansas

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths ticking up

Arkansas
  • California

Daily cases going up (with a slight plateau), daily deaths going up (with a slight plateau)

California
  • Colorado

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths flat

Colorado
  • Connecticut

Daily cases under control, daily deaths under control

Connecticut
  • Delaware

Daily cases starting to head back up, daily deaths mostly flat

Delaware
  • Florida

Daily cases really high, a slight tick down, daily deaths rapidly rising

Florida
  • Georgia

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths headed up

Georgia
  • Hawaii

Daily cases headed up (still small numbers), daily deaths flat

Hawaii
  • Idaho

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths ticking up

Idaho
  • Illinois

Daily cases heading back up after dip, daily deaths still headed down

Illinois
  • Indiana

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths flat

Indiana
  • Iowa

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths ticking back up

Iowa
  • Kansas

Daily cases heading up, daily deaths flat

Kansas
  • Kentucky

Daily cases heading up, daily deaths flat

Kentucky
  • Louisiana

Daily cases heading back up, daily deaths catching a late rise as well

Louisiana
  • Maine

Daily cases down, daily deaths down to flat

Maine
  • Maryland

Daily cases starting to rise, daily deaths declining

Maryland
  • Massachusetts

Daily cases down and flat, daily deaths declining

Massachusetts
  • Michigan

Daily cases seeing a rise, daily deaths declining

Michigan
  • Minnesota

Daily cases are heading up, daily deaths are declining

Minnesota
  • Mississippi

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths headed up

Mississippi
  • Missouri

Daily cases headed up fast, daily deaths are flat

Missouri
  • Montana

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths well higher than they were but still basically flat

Montana
  • Nebraska

Daily cases ticking back up, daily deaths flat

Nebraska
  • Nevada

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths headed up

Nevada
  • New Hampshire

Daily cases down, daily deaths down

New Hampshire
  • New Jersey

Daily cases down, daily deaths down

New Jersey
  • New Mexico

Daily cases heading up, daily deaths starting to tick up

New Mexico
  • New York

Daily cases down and flat, daily deaths down and flat

New York
  • North Carolina

Daily cases up, daily deaths ticking up

North Carolina
  • North Dakota

Daily cases heading up, daily deaths flat

North Dakota
  • Ohio

Daily cases heading up, daily deaths flat

Ohio
  • Oklahoma

Daily cases heading up, daily deaths ticking up

Oklahoma
  • Oregon

Daily cases heading up, daily deaths ticking up

Oregon
  • Pennsylvania

Daily cases easing back up, daily deaths declining

Pennsylvania
  • Rhode Island

Daily cases are flat, daily deaths are declining

Rhode Island
  • South Carolina

Daily cases are headed up, daily deaths are headed up

South Carolina
  • South Dakota

Daily cases are flat, daily deaths are flat

South Dakota
  • Tennessee

Daily cases headed up, daily deaths headed up

Tennessee
  • Texas

Daily cases still high, perhaps plateauing, daily deaths headed up

Texas
  • Utah

Daily cases are up, daily deaths are ticking up

Utah
  • Vermont

Daily cases are flat, daily deaths are none since 1 on June 18th.

Vermont
  • Virginia

Daily cases are heading back up, daily deaths are declining

Virginia
  • Washington

Daily cases heading up, daily deaths flat

Washington
  • West Virginia

Daily cases heading up, daily deaths are flat

West Virginia
  • Wisconsin

Daily cases are heading up, daily deaths are ticking up

Wisconsin
  • Wyoming

Daily cases are ticking up, daily deaths are flat

Wyoming

So, that’s all 50 states. More headed up than headed down. And when I show you this full US view, you can see how we have dwarfed the original peak on the virus, and you can see deaths starting to tick up as well, with deaths increasing each week for the past four.

When we look at the states over the past 7 days, you can see where the hot spots are.

  • Focusing on the positive test rate, Arizona (24.74%), Mississippi (21.88%), and Alabama (19.61%) are the highest. Texas is there at number 9 with 13.64%
  • On cases in the past 7 days per 10k residents, Florida (34.95), Louisiana (32.58), and Mississippi (29.42) are the highest. Texas is at number 10 with 21.86
  • Deaths per 10k over the past 7 days, it’s Arizona (0.769), Delaware (0.585), and South Carolina (0.561). Texas is at number 8 with 0.345, and also has the highest overall deaths over the past week with 1,000.

If you look at the full course of the pandemic on a per capita basis, Texas sits at 40th on testing per 10k, 17th on cases per 10k (a huge jump), and 32nd in deaths per 10k.

There are now just three Texas counties that have not seen a COVID case.

  • 8 Counties have more than 10,000 cases
  • 46 Counties have more than 1,000 cases
  • 155 Counties have more than 100 cases
  • 9 Counties have lost more than 100 Texans
  • 59 Counties have lost more than 10 Texans
  • 166 Counties have lost at least 1 Texan to COVID

For the first time in weeks, the % change in testing is greater than the % change in new cases. That’s a good thing. But you also see the graph in the lower right hand corner head up sharply. That’s daily deaths. That isn’t good, and we have lost 1,000 Texans in 7 days, 782 in the 7 days before that.

Here are the trend lines of the 24 counties in Texas with the most COVID cases. Take a look and I’ll give you my interpretation below.

Some of the biggest counties in Texas are seeing a slight downturn in cases. That’s also a good thing. The timing is likely tied to Governor Abbott’s mask mandate on July 2nd, and local leadership implementing stricter guidelines in certain communities. But it’s just a slight downturn. And there are counties (big and small) all over the state where they are not taking it seriously, not enforcing or encouraging, and in some cases flat out mocking wearing a mask, as well as the need for social distancing or other safety measures. That is why we see cases maintaining this level. That’s why we see hospitals around the state being overwhelmed. That’s why we see deaths going up. You don’t get ahead of the virus unless everyone works together. We’ve got people actively working against us. And then we have the insanity of trying to put thousands of kids and teachers into classrooms in a matter of weeks.

As always, I’ll keep updating things daily on the site, even if I’m not posting here. I believe people need to see the numbers at all levels to really understand things. Hopefully a few of you out there find this useful. Please feel free to grab screenshots from here or the actual dashboards and share them anywhere you can.

Thanks for reading all the way to the bottom.

Stay in if you can. Stay safe. And by all means, WEAR A MASK!

All screenshots in the post are from my site. You can access it and grab your own screenshots here: bit.ly/uscovid19map

I chart Texas Politics at christackettnow.com and write about things that matter (to me at least) whenever the muse hits.